Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001400 0.001490 0.001583 0.001687 0.001798 0.001915 0.002046
2024-10-20 0.001251 0.001372 0.001502 0.001651 0.001817 0.001999 0.002212
2024-10-27 0.001159 0.001302 0.001459 0.001645 0.001859 0.002100 0.002392
2024-11-03 0.001057 0.001209 0.001381 0.001590 0.001836 0.002120 0.002475
2024-11-10 0.001010 0.001176 0.001367 0.001603 0.001890 0.002228 0.002661
2024-11-17 0.000955 0.001129 0.001332 0.001588 0.001905 0.002288 0.002788
2024-11-24 0.000923 0.001106 0.001323 0.001603 0.001955 0.002389 0.002969
2024-12-01 0.000873 0.001059 0.001283 0.001575 0.001949 0.002418 0.003058
2024-12-08 0.000835 0.001024 0.001255 0.001560 0.001958 0.002465 0.003170
2024-12-15 0.000802 0.000994 0.001231 0.001549 0.001969 0.002514 0.003285
2024-12-22 0.000777 0.000972 0.001216 0.001548 0.001994 0.002580 0.003425
2024-12-29 0.000747 0.000943 0.001192 0.001533 0.001998 0.002618 0.003525
2025-01-05 0.000722 0.000921 0.001177 0.001533 0.002026 0.002695 0.003695
2025-01-12 0.000686 0.000884 0.001140 0.001502 0.002011 0.002712 0.003777
2025-01-19 0.000662 0.000862 0.001123 0.001498 0.002031 0.002778 0.003936
2025-01-26 0.000624 0.000819 0.001076 0.001449 0.001985 0.002748 0.003948
2025-02-02 0.000611 0.000808 0.001073 0.001461 0.002029 0.002848 0.004161
2025-02-09 0.000589 0.000786 0.001053 0.001448 0.002033 0.002890 0.004286
2025-02-16 0.000577 0.000777 0.001051 0.001461 0.002076 0.002991 0.004509
2025-02-23 0.000554 0.000752 0.001023 0.001435 0.002061 0.003002 0.004587
2025-03-02 0.000537 0.000732 0.001005 0.001423 0.002063 0.003041 0.004711
2025-03-09 0.000521 0.000716 0.000989 0.001413 0.002069 0.003085 0.004846
2025-03-16 0.000508 0.000704 0.000980 0.001412 0.002090 0.003152 0.005022